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Tyler Lockett

WR, Seahawks

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Tyler Lockett was having a phenomenal season through the first nine weeks of the season but in week 10 he suffered a leg injury and wasn’t the same player afterwards. Lockett finished the year with 82 receptions for 1,057 yards and 8 touchdowns. Through the first nine weeks of the season, however, Lockett had 59 receptions for 767 yards and 6 touchdowns. That paces out to 105 receptions for 1,364 yards and 11 touchdowns, which would have been elite numbers. Lockett was the WR3 in fantasy through those nine games behind only Michael Thomas and Mike Evans. Lockett is now fully healthy so he will be able to produce numbers closer to those we saw through the first nine games of the season this year. There are a few things that might prevent Lockett from doing as well, however. D.K. Metcalf is going to develop further and become an even better receiver who will command more targets. In addition, the Seahawks added Greg Olsen to be their starting tight end. That might slightly affect Lockett’s target share, but the Seahawks will likely just end up passing the ball more because they will have a stronger receiving core, so it should affect Lockett too much if at all. The main risk with Lockett is that he relies on efficiency to do well, as he only averaged eight targets per game (128 targets over the course of an entire season) through his first nine games. He caught 81.9% of his targets through the first nine games, which seems unlikely to happen again even though Lockett has shown over the past two years that he is very efficient. That will cause not only a dropoff in production but a very inconsistent weekly outlook for Lockett because he will be having some games with practically no targets. Overall, Tyler Lockett should have a great year and is being very undervalued in fantasy, but the Seahawks’ improved receiving core and Lockett’s likely regression in efficiency could affect his production.

Standard Analytics-Based Projected Points: 135

PPR Analytics-Based Projected Points: 240.3

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