George Kittle had another great season last year with 85 receptions for 1,053 yards and 5 touchdowns in 14 games (97 receptions for 1,203 yards and 6 touchdowns over the course of an entire season). Those are elite numbers that would have put Kittle in the same tier as Travis Kelce. The thing about Kittle that makes him slightly more risky than Kelce is the fact that he only had 107 targets last year in 14 games (122 over the course of an entire season) compared to Kelce’s 136, Kittle was just very efficient when targeted. Kittle also didn’t run a ton of routes, as he led the NFL in yards per route run with 3.12 (meaning he only ran about 338 routes). Kelce will likely have more than 136 targets next year with Patrick Mahomes fully healthy while Kittle’s target share can be expected to increase while Deebo Samuel is injured, though the 49ers might just look to run the ball more. Kittle doesn’t get as many targets because the 49ers are a run-first team. Just look at the NFC Championship game where the 49ers only passed the ball eight times. If Kittle’s efficiency regresses and his target share doesn’t increase he has a lower floor than Kelce. At the same time, if his target share increases and his efficiency stays the same he has a higher ceiling than Kelce. The other major risk with Kittle is his shoulder. In 2019 he tore his labrum and will not have surgery. The risk of re-injury without surgery is 42%-55%, so Kittle is at very high risk of injury. Overall, George Kittle is likely to be an elite fantasy tight end once again if he can stay healthy, and though he is pretty risky he has massive upside so he is worth drafting in the late second round.