Zeke was very good last year, but he wasn’t as good as he typically is in the sense that he didn’t have many insane games. One has to remember, however, that Zeke held out for all of training camp and the preseason before getting paid, so coming into the season he wasn’t in the best shape and needed time to get acclimated to getting hit as much as he usually does. This obviously limited his productivity, because the first four games of the season were like Zeke’s training camp and then the next four games were like his first four weeks, etc. This obviously threw him off all year. Despite that, Zeke was still able to finish with 1,777 yards from scrimmage, 14 total touchdowns, and 54 receptions. This year Zeke won’t be going through the same issue (obviously training camps will be different because of Covid-19 but that affects everyone, not just Zeke, so it shouldn’t impact his productivity), so we will likely see him return to form. The Cowboys offense is going to be one of the best in the NFL this year with the addition of CeeDee Lamb and the departure of Jason Garrett, which will give Zeke more touchdown upside and keep in on the field longer in addition to getting him more touches because the Cowboys will be winning more games and running it more to drain the clock. Defenses will also not be able to load the box against Zeke because the Cowboys have great weapons, and that will make him more productive. There is some risk with Zeke, however, now that Mike McCarthy is head coach. In the past, McCarthy’s teams have passed the ball significantly more than they have run the ball. We saw that with Aaron Jones who was solid with Mike McCarthy but really broke out once McCarthy left. If that translates over to Dallas Zeke won’t be able to produce as much in the run game, which could be a big problem. In addition, McCarthy’s teams haven’t passed it to the running back very much. There have only been three 50 targets seasons for a running back during McCarthy’s 13 year career as a head coach, and 50 targets is far fewer than the 72 and 95 targets Zeke has had in the past two years. It seems unlikely that McCarthy seriously impacts Elliott’s production because McCarthy has never had a running back like Zeke, but it is worth noting when drafting him. Travis Frederick also retired, which will hurt, but Zeke played the entire 2018 season without Frederick and was still able to get over 2,000 yards from scrimmage so it isn’t a major problem. The reason to go with Zeke is his safety and consistency. The guy doesn’t get hurt and is almost guaranteed to get 1,300+ rushing yards and double digit touchdowns. He also doesn’t have bad games. Overall, Zeke is a very safe pick who has pretty good upside as the workhorse in an elite offense, and he should be one of the top four players off the board.